That revenue comes from sales of Tesla's sole product, the electric Roadster, engineering consulting work, and from Zero Emissions Vehicles tax credits the firm has sold to Honda. Low margins. With a 3 percent net income margin this would add $2 billion in after-tax net income.Elon Musk confirmed his willingness to do so:Tesla is currently valued at 10x Price-to-Sales, and Trailing Twelve Months Price-to-Earnings of 743. Tesla will be one of them, which will translate into substantial revenue.When we add everything up, Tesla will be a $500+ billion revenue company in 2030 with healthy profits. Shop; Sign In; Model S; Model 3; Model X; Model Y; CYBERTRUCK; Roadster; Energy; Mobile Menu. That means in 2030 they will produce about 10 million cars. In their IPO prospectus they described themselves as “the leading online retailer of books.”So what was different about Amazon? Items per page. A visionary owner-operator with an extremely long-term focus and customer obsession.If we assume they scale this globally to 5 million roofs per year by 2030 and an average selling-price of $15k, this will bring in another $75 billion in revenues. According to our insider, "they want to sell 20,000 units a year of the S Model (sic) at about $58,000 each, although fully optioned cars could boost that by as much as 50%. When discussing the actual viability of Tesla as a more mainstream manufacturer, rather than a boutique builder, things get interesting. A visionary owner-operator with an extremely long-term focus and customer obsession. "[Tesla plans to use] only a small portion of the floorplan, with the remainder reserved for future production and upgrades." There was some discussion of production plans, but it sounded like a Silicon Valley production mentality: Build a fab[rication shop], build pilot production at a loss, but expect production costs to fall dramatically as volumes increase and manufacturing expertise improves. Our attendee: "Someone in the room asked about availability of service, given lack of dealerships. If they don’t solve full self-driving, then this will just be another version of Uber/Lyft or Zipcar or Turo. Pretty much every buyer of solar panels will buy one or more, which means millions of units per year.Tesla currently offers the lowest-cost solar panels in America. We’re just trying to accelerate sustainable energy, not crush competitors!Who would have thought in 1997 when Amazon went public that 23 years later the business would look like it does today? The 258-page company prospectus features 42 pages of risks, risks associated with everything from Tesla's relative car-building inexperience to the public's perception of electric cars. Skip to main navigation Tesla. One unimpressed insider shared this exclusive, behind-the-scenes look with us.Not everyone is coming away impressed. So I believe a valuation of $1 trillion is justified, leaving a 4x upside from today’s price.A Powerwall costs $8.5k and adds energy independence and backup. Filing year. For lack of a better phrase, Tesla is a money pit. It may look like a car company today. Blank look on Elon's face: 'Well, these cars don't really need service,' he said.
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